Welcome to the US Crypto News Morning Briefing—your essential rundown of the most important developments in crypto for the day ahead.
Grab a coffee — because stablecoins may be about to reshape the US bond market. A new Standard Chartered report suggests rising demand for Treasury bills from digital dollar issuers could quietly force Washington to rethink how it finances its debt.
Crypto News of the Day: Stablecoin Demand Could Force Washington to Rethink US Debt StrategyStablecoins may soon reshape the US Treasury market, potentially forcing a radical shift in debt issuance, according to a new report from Standard Chartered.
The bank projects that stablecoin issuers could generate between $0.8 trillion and $1 trillion of fresh demand for Treasury bills (T-bills) by the end of 2028.
This trend, when combined with Federal Reserve purchases, could push total short-term Treasury demand to $2.2 trillion.
The report warns that the Treasury could use this emerging excess demand as justification to increase T-bill issuance while reducing long-term bond supply. Such a move could, in effect, allow the US government to suspend all 30-year bond auctions for the next three years.
“We think the US Treasury may use this potential excess demand as a reason to issue more T-bills,” wrote Geoff Kendrick in the latest Standard Chartered report, highlighting stablecoin issuers as increasingly significant buyers of short-term US debt.
Emerging market stablecoins are expected to drive the majority of this demand. Standard Chartered estimates that two-thirds of projected T-bill demand will come from emerging markets, representing net new demand. Meanwhile, stablecoins in developed markets largely substitute for existing holdings.
This pattern highlights the growing role of digital assets in global capital flows and their influence on traditional fixed-income markets.
The potential implications for the Treasury yield curve are substantial. Shifting roughly $9 billion from long-term bonds to T-bills could initially flatten the US Treasury curve.
Interesting note from Standard Chartered on stablecoins & T-bills.
Despite supply stalling since October, they still project 2 trillions $ by 2028 (projection cited by the US Treasury).
EM would drive 2/3 of demand (net new T-bill demand), vs DM where it’s mostly substitution. pic.twitter.com/fKVqgRYNZF