AI Reveals 3 Surprising Facts About Stellar (XLM) Price This Month

Stellar (XLM) experienced a sharp rally in July and has been range-bound since. The altcoin dropped from the $.40 mark in the first few days of September, but recovered nearly 8% over the past 2 weeks. 

With XLM showing cautious signals, we used OpenAI’s ChatGPT-5 to conduct a deep analysis of Stellar’s key on-chain metrics. The modules were given several indicators like CMF, accumulation/distribution, whale data, bull/bear power and more. 

Here’s what the analysis revealed. 

Three Surprising Facts About XLM Price From September

XLM Price rose while whales sat in cash. Santiment shows the share of stablecoins held by $5 million+ wallets climbed from 55% to 59% through the month. Yet, XLM still pushed to ~$0.417 on Sept 11–13. 

That combo implies the rally was not whale-led. It was likely driven by smaller buyers and short covering. So, upside stalled once that flow faded.

Stellar (XLM) Price vs. Share of Stablecoin Supply Held By Whales. Source: Santiment

Steady spot accumulation despite weak money flow. On TradingView, the Accumulation/Distribution line climbed to nearly 1.72 billion across the period, even as CMF finished around −0.13 and spent much of mid-month below zero. 

Overall, the bullish A/D vs. negative CMF divergence points to quiet absorption on spot, while broader liquidity leaned risk-off.

Momentum stayed soft into the local top. The histogram (BBP) rarely showed sustained positives during the run to ~$0.417. 

XLM Accumulation/Distribution and CMF Chart. Source: TradingView

So, XLM price printed higher highs while momentum didn’t. This is a classic negative divergence. 

After the peak, price held ~$0.38–0.39 anyway. It suggests strong hands defended dips even as momentum cooled.

Three October Price Points

• $0.36–0.37 (retest support): This zone capped the mid-Sept pullbacks (Sept 17–18). CMF’s negative read and elevated whale stablecoin share leave room for one more liquidity sweep. Lose $0.37 on closes and a measured move targets ~$0.33 (range height ≈$0.04 under the shelf).
  
• $0.40–0.41 (pivot / magnet): Multiple rejections cluster here and the mid-Sept high sits just above. With A/D still firm, base case is a grind around $0.40 as supply is tested again. Sustained closes over $0.41 would confirm renewed demand rather than short covering.
  
• $0.45–0.46 (breakout objective): The Sept range spans ~$0.37–0.41 (~$0.04). A clean breakout and hold above $0.41 projects to $0.45±0.01. 

For confidence, look for CMF to turn positive and the whale-stablecoin share to roll over. These will signal rotation from cash back into risk.

Bottom Line

September showed stealth accumulation and non-whale-led upside. XLM price in October likely revolves around $0.40–0.41. 

A $0.36–0.37 retest is possible if risk appetite stays muted, while $0.45–0.46 opens up if breadth and money flow flip positive.

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